Determinant Factors of the President of the United States Approval Rating
Persistent URL
Author(s)
Page, Patrick
Date Issued
April 8, 2024
Abstract
The purpose of this research was to determine which factors had significant impact on the American peoples’ view on the job performance of the President of the United States. Using an economic index, a geopolitical risk index, data from Google Trends, approval ratings from Gallup, and two variables relating to time, I was able to conduct this successfully. In total there are thirteen variables observed monthly from August of 2004 to February of 2023. I hypothesize that it would not be the economic variable that is statistically significant, rather, it would be the geopolitical factors that had the greater impact. After running three regression analyses and three Breusch-Pagan tests for heteroscedasticity, it was found that it was actually the variables relating to time that are more significant. Thus, indicating that the presence of a calendar anomaly may be the case for how the job performance of the President of the United States is judged by American voters and creating room for the potential of further research.
Major
Economics
Honors
Business and Economics, 2024
First Reader(s)
Nonnenmacher, Tomas W.
Other Reader(s)
Yusuf, Aisha
Department
Business and Economics
Type of Publication
Senior Project Paper
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Name
Senior-Project-Page (1).pdf
Size
579.79 KB
Format
Adobe PDF
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